We're now in the second full year of the new console war! Isn't it exciting? Anyway, this is as good a thread as any to discuss the on-going console war. I think I'll get the ball rolling with the numbers:VG Chartz
The interesting thing for me is the PlayStation 3, it's performing much better than I had anticpiated, and it's poised to overatke the 360 in Europe. Meanwhile the Wii is on its way to overtaking the 360 in North America, and when that happens I think the shit will hit the fan over at Microsoft. Microsoft is sitting in a fairly delicate posistion, and the PlayStation 3 is seemingly selling as fast as the 360 globally, if not, than faster. I really consider the 360 to be the Ron Paul of this console war, it's an unlikely canidate for victory but it everyone who has it loves it and is obnoxiously vocal about it. Still, I'll be laughing when it has the smallest marketshare in the end, despite it's year-long lead.
Nonetheless, the PlayStation 3, I think is going to be near tied with Microsoft behind the Wii . My current guess for end-of generation sales would be Wii: 100 million, PS3: 38 million, 360: 30 million. I don't expect a "10 year" life cycle for the PS3 or the 360, they don't have enough momentum. The whole "higher techology will last longer" arguement is bullocks. If that were true, the GameBoy would have lasted three years and the 3DO would have lasted well into the 64 bit era.
Anyway, feel free to make your own outrageous claims here as I have, or be more conservative, whatev.